recent
Hot News

*7AM: Hurricane Delta strengthens to Cat. 2, set to become major hurricane




7AM: Hurricane Delta strengthens to Cat. 2, set to become a major hurricane

i know and we see these things coming so far out now this is four or more days out and actually the timing for an eventual gulf coast landfall is pushed back now to friday night maybe even early saturday so its just barely a tuesday morning of course we have a few days to go until we get this first of all into the gulf which may happen tomorrow in the second part of the day but then eventually toward the gulf coast so the big thing with delta this morning is of course that it has become a category two storm and its winds jumped up from early this morning at miles per hour to now miles per hour for the maximum sustained winds so it is not far in fact just one mile per hour short if you look at the exact mile per hour categories for the saffir simpson wind scale almost becoming a category three so it is just short of that now that will probably happen later on today and note the threes and the fours expected the categories three and four for its intensity over the next few days now intensity can fluctuate it can change but at this point the maximum winds from the national hurricane centers forecast are set at miles per hour that is the upper range for how strong it might get that would be a category four and then of course the big thing also that were watching thats kind of changed today a higher intensity for that the other thing that were watching that actually really hasnt changed much is the big area of uncertainty from east texas extreme east texas all the way to louisiana and including the parts of the gulf coast all the way to the florida panhandle


7AM: Hurricane Delta strengthens to Cat. 2, set to become a major hurricane

here are the computer models just to give you a look at the spread and look at some of these which are trending a little farther to the west so thats been a development today a lot of them are clustered right now right over the south central louisiana coast but let me show you a couple of the models the gfs model first of all i have it paused here saturday am so landfall instead of we were thinking maybe early friday it might get pushed back to maybe friday night or early saturday and note that the center of the low here is way over almost to where hurricane lara made landfall near the louisiana texas state line now look at the european model which ill jump to now it has a similar solution this morning now these will jump back and forth i think because the system is still in the caribbean and we dont know exactly how much these steering currents are going to play a role that is kind of normal three four days out you know we dont know exactly when the trough will build in or how far south there are some fluctuations that typically happen with any forecast in that frame so the big things will be the high pressure directing it to the northwest and you saw there pretty strong high pressure building in and taking it almost toward the texas coast with both the european and the gfs so just something to kind of note this morning that were seeing with that trend and then the trough of low pressure which will be responsible for turning it to the north and northeast so those two factors plus gammas role gammas a posttropical system now but theres still some low pressure near yucatan we will see how that exerts its influence over delta when delta comes barreling that way later today and tonight so in new orleans today clouds we have a slight chance for some showers and we actually have a couple of showers right along the coast even right now tomorrow looks quiet too but the impacts are going to be hugely dependent on where it makes landfall which i just showed you could be in a long wide range of areas still so still some uncertainty for sure there '
google-playkhamsatmostaqltradent